Karnataka: Assembly elections - Revision history

Pdewan: /* See also */

2023-05-14T07:17:20Z

‎See also

Pdewan: /* 2018 */

2023-05-14T07:16:33Z

‎2018

Jyoti: /* Election-wise results */

2023-05-05T15:14:51Z

‎Election-wise results

Jyoti: /* The position of the main parties */

2018-05-18T20:21:27Z

‎The position of the main parties

Jyoti: /* 2013 */

2018-05-18T20:19:31Z

‎2013

Jyoti: /* 2018 */

2018-05-18T09:27:04Z

‎2018

Show changes

Jyoti: /* Election-wise results */

2018-05-18T09:18:32Z

‎Election-wise results

Pdewan: /* Cong gains in vote share, loses out on seats */

2018-05-17T22:06:01Z

‎Cong gains in vote share, loses out on seats

Jyoti: /* A list of the winners */

2018-05-17T10:44:35Z

‎A list of the winners

Jyoti: /* A list of the winners */

2018-05-17T09:46:09Z

‎A list of the winners

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 =See also=

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 '''See graphic''':
-''How Karnataka voted in 2013''
+''How Karnataka voted in 2013-party-wise''
 [[File: How Karnataka voted in 2013-party-wise.jpg|How Karnataka voted in 2013-party-wise <br/> From: [http://www.thehindu.com/elections/karnataka-2018/live-results-analysis/  May 16, 2018: ''The Hindu'']|frame|500px]]
 ==2018==

← Older revision		Revision as of 20:19, 18 May 2018
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	''How Karnataka voted in 2013''		''How Karnataka voted in 2013''
		+
		+	[[File: How Karnataka voted in 2013-party-wise.jpg\|How Karnataka voted in 2013-party-wise <br/> From: [http://www.thehindu.com/elections/karnataka-2018/live-results-analysis/ May 16, 2018: ''The Hindu'']\|frame\|500px]]
		+
		+	'''See graphic''':
		+
		+	''How Karnataka voted in 2013-party-wise''

	==2018==		==2018==

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 =Election-wise results=
-[https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/elections/assembly-elections/karnataka/constituency-map  May 12, 2018: ''The Times of India'']
+==1957-2018: The two top parties==
 ==1978==
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 Three, the Vokkaliga community, too did not waiver towards the Congress. PM Modi’s campaigned aggressively in Old Mysuru constituencies where the fight was between the JD (S) and the Congress. This strategy had the desired impact -- JD (S) maintained its stronghold in the region and won more seats.
 =See also=
 [[Karnataka: Assembly elections]]

← Older revision		Revision as of 22:06, 17 May 2018
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	Three, the Vokkaliga community, too did not waiver towards the Congress. PM Modi’s campaigned aggressively in Old Mysuru constituencies where the fight was between the JD (S) and the Congress. This strategy had the desired impact -- JD (S) maintained its stronghold in the region and won more seats.		Three, the Vokkaliga community, too did not waiver towards the Congress. PM Modi’s campaigned aggressively in Old Mysuru constituencies where the fight was between the JD (S) and the Congress. This strategy had the desired impact -- JD (S) maintained its stronghold in the region and won more seats.
		+	=See also=
		+	[[Karnataka: Assembly elections]]
		+
		+	[[Karnataka: Assembly elections, 2018]]
		+
		+	[[Karnataka: caste, mutts and elections]]
		+
		+	[[Karnataka: Parliamentary elections]]
		+
		+	[[Karnataka: political history]]

← Older revision		Revision as of 10:44, 17 May 2018
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	224 H.S. Mahadeva Prasad (Gundlupet) INC		224 H.S. Mahadeva Prasad (Gundlupet) INC
		+
		+	=== Cong's Lingayat religious minority card failed===
		+	[https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/how-karnataka-dalit-lingayat-cards-didnt-work-for-congress/articleshow/64180728.cms May 15, 2018: ''The Times of India'']
		+
		+	Two of the major chunks of voters that the Congress was banking on in Karnataka were Dalits and Lingayats and as election results were declared both appeared to have voted in large numbers for the BJP.
		+	In fact, the Congress in 2013 rose to power in the southern state with a strong backing of minorities, backward classes and Dalits and the same coalition led to its ouster in 2018.
		+
		+	The Congress desperately tried to add to the coalition the Lingayat factor by granting religious minority status to the community - a move that didn't work to its advantage.
		+
		+	Dalits and Scheduled Tribes in Karnataka are huge in numbers anywhere between 20 to 23 per cent, enough to make or break prospects for any political party to come to power.
		+
		+	Take a look at the past elections of Karnataka.
		+
		+	In the 51 constituencies reserved for the Scheduled Castes and Scheduled Tribes, the BJP got just seven in 2013 while the Congress got 26 and JD-S 11. The BSR Congress bagged four seats while two went to independents. The Congress scored an easy majority.
		+
		+	In 2008, when the BJP won the mandate as the single largest party, it bagged 27 and the Congress 17. The JD-S won nine.
		+
		+	And cut to 2018 that threw up a hung verdict. The BJP and the Congress appeared neck and neck winning 23 and 19 seats respectively. The JD-S grabbed eight. The end result is a hung assembly which was a similar case in 2004.
		+
		+	Dalits have traditionally been supporters of the Congress but the BJP has successfully managed to break into the support bases, particularly since the 2004 polls when it managed a social engineering exercise to attract a section of Dalit voters - called the Left Dalits.
		+
		+	The Left Dalits are considered the most marginalised among such communities.
		+
		+	The Congress also tried to woo BJP Chief Ministerial face B.S. Yeddyurappa's own caste - the Lingayats - a traditional BJP support base. They have influence on nearly 100 seats in the 224-member assembly and make up 17 per cent of the state's population.
		+
		+	The Congress hoped that that by playing the religious minority card, it would split the BJP's vote base as Lingayats appeared going back to Yeddyurappa after voting against him in 2013. But the experiment seemed to have failed.
		+
		+	The BJP won from the majority of Lingayat dominated seats - mainly in north Karnataka (Hyderabad Karnataka) and parts of the central region.
		+
		+	In 2013, when the Congress emerged a clear winner, it won 47 seats in Lingayata heartlands, against just five for the BJP.
		+
		+	===Vokkaligas vote against Siddaramaiah, hurt Cong===
		+	[https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/vokkaligas-vote-against-siddaramaiah-hurt-congress/articleshow/64177123.cms Chethan Kumar, May 15, 2018: ''The Times of India'']
		+
		+
		+	'''HIGHLIGHTS'''
		+
		+	Siddaramaiah’s tussle with the numerically strong Vokkaliga community can be a strong reason for his loss in Chamundeshwari
		+
		+	JD (S) leader GT Deve Gowda won from Chamundeshwari with a margin of 36,000 votes
		+
		+
		+	Among other things that the Congress party will find as reasons for its loss when it introspects, Siddaramaiah’s tussle with the numerically strong Vokkaliga community will be among the top three. If this costs him his seat in Chamundeshwari, JD (S) leader GT Deve Gowda won with a margin of 36,000 votes, it also impacted the party’s prospects in the old Mysuru region comprising Mandya, Tumakuru, Hassan, Kolar and Chamarajanagar.
		+
		+	In Chamundeshwari—which can be viewed as a microcosm of the impact Vokkaligas had on Congress—of the 2.2-odd lakh electors who voted, 1.21 lakh or 55% voted for GT Deve Gowda, while Siddaramaiah garnered 38% of vote share with 85,283 votes. In all, the constituency had an estimated 1.3 lakh Vokkaliga voters.
		+
		+	Experts estimated that there were at least 45 seats where the Vokkaliga community could play a key role, and the JD(S) has managed to win more than 20 of these, where the community was decisive.
		+
		+	JD (S), riding on Vokkaliga backing swept Mandya winning all six seats. It didn’t even spare the Melkote segment, where Congress didn’t field anybody as a sign of respect to veteran politician Puttannaiah, who passed away earlier this year. While Congress extended its support to Puttannaiah’s son Darshan, JD(S) decided to field a sitting MP CS Puttaraju, a strong Vokkaliga who won.
		+
		+	GT Deve Gowda, analysing Congress’ performance said: “Siddaramaiah is not somebody we dislike, but his remarks about Deve Gowda in the run-up to the elections angered the community, which consolidated against him, not just in Hassan and Mandya, but in other districts of the belt too.”
		+
		+	In Hassan, considered the backyard of JD(S) supremo HD Deve Gowda’s family, the party bagged six of seven seats, improving its tally by one from 2013 with Gowda’s son HD Revanna also winning with a huge margin. The party, however, is said to have given away the Hassan seat to BJP, whose Preetham J Gowda, won with more than 10,000.
		+
		+	The community has also managed to dent Congress’ chances in many segments in Kolar, where it won three seats, Tumakuru, where it won six of 11 seats, and also in Mysuru and Chamarajanagar.
		+
		+	Political analyst Krishna Kumar, says: “One key factor was appointing Kempaiah as the home minister’s advisor and the subsequent feeling among Vokkaliga officers that they are being retributed. The community did not take lightly what they perceived was a ploy to make the Kuruba community stronger.”
		+
		+	===Cong gains in vote share, loses out on seats===
		+	[https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/despite-gains-in-vote-share-the-congress-loses-out-on-seats/articleshow/64177663.cms Despite gains in vote share, the Congress loses out on seats, May 15, 2018: ''The Times of India'']
		+
		+
		+	Conventional logic says that if a party increases its vote share, it should win more seats in election. While that holds true for the BJP, as the 2018 Karnataka election results reveal, the same can’t be said for the Congress.
		+
		+	First, a look at how the BJP has fared in terms of vote share in the last three elections. It’s been a see-saw ride to say the least. In 2008, the BJP had a 33.9 per cent vote share, which dropped to 19.9 per cent in 2013 and has risen back to 36.2 per cent in 2018.
		+
		+	''' Explore how Karnataka voted '''
		+
		+	Now look at the Congress’s vote share numbers. The party has steadily improved its vote shares in the last three elections from 34.8 per cent in 2008 to 36.6 per cent in 2013 to 38 per cent in 2018. However, this has not translated to more seats. In 2008, despite a higher vote share, the Congress lost to the BJP. In 2013, its vote share increased by 2.2 per cent but its seat share rose dramatically to 54.5 per cent. In 2018, despite a higher vote share, the number of seats it won has dropped.
		+
		+	What worked in BJP’s favour? In 2012, the BJP split, BS Yeddyurappa who was then the chief minister was forced to step down due to corruption charges. He walked out to set up the Karnataka Janata Paksha (KJP) and his party bagged 10 per cent vote share in 2013. Similarly, B Sreeramulu quit the BJP to set up the BSR Congress, which too bagged 2 per cent vote share in 2013. In 2018, the two leaders buried the hatchet and were back in the BJP fold. This augured well for the BJP, which got a 36.8 per cent vote share and has emerged as the single largest party in terms of seats won.
		+
		+	Live updates: Karnataka election results 2018
		+
		+	Why has the Congress not been able to win more seats despite higher vote share? One, the BJP made deep inroads into its traditional strongholds -- coastal Karnataka and Mumbai Karnataka -- regions, the Congress won several seats in 2013, but was not able to make a marked difference in 2018.
		+
		+	Two, the Congress’s strategy of a minority status for Lingayat and Veerashaiva communities came a cropper. Both the communities appear to have gravitated towards leaders from their own communities -- BS Yeddyurappa who is a Lingayat and Sreeramulu who belongs to the Veerashaiva community -- which are back in the BJP fold.
		+
		+	Elections with Times: Flavour of poll campaigns, ground mood
		+
		+	Three, the Vokkaliga community, too did not waiver towards the Congress. PM Modi’s campaigned aggressively in Old Mysuru constituencies where the fight was between the JD (S) and the Congress. This strategy had the desired impact -- JD (S) maintained its stronghold in the region and won more seats.

← Older revision		Revision as of 09:46, 17 May 2018
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	=== A list of the winners===		=== A list of the winners===
−	[http://indianexpress.com/elections/karnataka-assembly-election-results-list-of-winners-5176068/ Karnataka assembly election results: List of winners, May 15, 2018: ''The ~~Times of India~~'']	+	[http://indianexpress.com/elections/karnataka-assembly-election-results-list-of-winners-5176068/ Karnataka assembly election results: List of winners, May 15, 2018: ''The Indian Express'']